Most Australian and US betting websites offer different NBA betting markets for each game. One of the most interesting and sometimes lucrative are the basketball player performance betting markets. Outside of the game’s superstars, most player stats fluctuate significantly each night. So if you can determine when a player’s night will or won’t be, you can take advantage of player performance in NBA aftermarkets. Here are some tips for making your own decision regarding prop betting in player performance markets.
In general, select players are assigned a minus/plus in a different stat, be it rebounds, points, assists, or a combination of two or more of them. Typically, the line is set around his season average for that specific star; For example, Luka Doncic’s season point average is 28.8, so bookies may set his point line at 28.5. Also, a few key factors can make a player perform poorly or perform well on any given night. The bookies have enough experience adjusting their lines if something big happens. Still, sometimes they go unnoticed, and on some occasions you get a little window to jump through before they update.
Injury
The main factor is injury. When a standout player on the team suffers an injury, bookmakers think that his replacement in the starting XI should take the lion’s share of production from him. Although the replacement will indeed boost stats, at least two other players in the starting line-up will get an extra boost in production that will see them go to the over and vice versa if an injured player returns to the line-up. An excellent case is when point guard Chris Paul left with injury and Austin Rivers, his replacement in the starting lineup, gets a notable raise, but also players like JJ Reddick and Jamal Crawford improve their points and assist numbers in Chris’s absence. . These types often go unnoticed by bookmakers.
pairings
Another essential factor in prop betting is matchups. Few teams defend some positions extremely well while producing other positions in spades. It’s usually a safe bet to avoid overs when your player is playing teams like the Grizzlies or Spurs. They can defend all positions well and rarely allow a single player to dominate the game. One team to watch out for is the Boston Celtics. They can defend the guard positions very well with Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart, but on the other hand, they are the worst rebounding team. We saw Andre Drummond, the rebounding leader whose rebounding line is usually set around 14.5, claim 22 against the Celtics, which may be an easy win for the overs. The best thing to do when participating in this type of betting is to study the team statistics and defense vs. positions. There are several sites where you can get all the information.
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